As we take in every single NFL game, there are a few things becoming abundantly clear: The AFC is completely wide-open, and the NFC is extremely top-heavy.
When you look at Super Bowl futures odds with four weeks left, those beliefs are worth building around.
Odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
We might look back on Week 14 as the inflection point in this AFC East race. Buffalo picked up a massive, much-needed win over the Kansas City Chiefs on the road, while the Miami Dolphins blew a 14-point lead with with three minutes left to fall to the Tennessee Titans.
Now, the Bills sit at 7-6, while the Dolphins are 9-4. There's a log-jam at 7-6 with four weeks left. The Steelers, Colts, Texans, Broncos, Bengals and Bills are all at 7-6, and Cleveland is 8-5. This playoff race is going to be a ton of fun, and now is the time to invest in Buffalo making a run, this is still the same team that was one of the Super Bowl favorites in August.
The Dolphins next three games: Jets, Cowboys, Ravens. The Bills next three games: Cowboys, Chargers, Patriots.
Week 18 is Dolphins vs. Bills in Miami. It's not out of the realm of possibility that that game could be for the division.
This is worth a small bet at this juncture, Josh Allen is the best quarterback out of all of those 7-6 teams, and we're not so sure it's particularly close, especially if C.J. Stroud is forced to miss a week or two here.
Dallas looked completely dominant in their Week 14 thrashing of the Philadelphia Eagles, and a bet here on Dallas is almost more of an indictment on Philly than it is an endorsement on the Cowboys.
That isn't really what we mean, this roster is a Super Bowl-caliber team, with Dak Prescott playing like the MVP. The Eagles recent slide makes it clear that this conference is almost sure to be represented by either the San Francisco 49ers or the Cowboys. San Fran is such a heavy favorite, that we turn to some value on the Dallas end.
The offense is creative and explosive, the defense continues to create turnovers, and Brandon Aubrey is a stud kicker which is sure to come up down the stretch here. Dallas has some tough games coming up, but they've shown that they're up for the task.
If the Cowboys keep winning and the Eagles drop another game, the division would belong to Dallas, and two home games at minimum with it. The Cowboys have not dropped a home game since September of last season.
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